Difference between revisions of "IS428 AY2019-20T1 Assign Nurul Khairina Binte Abdul Kadir TaskFindings Q2"
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− | We can observe a surge in reports for Old Town, Scenic Vista, Broadview and Chapparal on 9 April. All of them show a similar pattern of a gap of not having any reports made before the surge. Chapparal had | + | We can observe a surge in reports for Old Town, Scenic Vista, Broadview and Chapparal on 9 April. All of them show a similar pattern of a gap of not having any reports made before the surge. Chapparal had 1375 reports and Old Town had 4490 reports once power was restored. However, only a small number of reports were made by Wilson Forest once power was restored and it was only for 4 hours since there was another gap after 7 PM on 9 April. |
[[File:Poweroutage wf.jpg|center]] | [[File:Poweroutage wf.jpg|center]] | ||
− | + | In order to confirm that a power outage is the reason behind the surge of reports, we can analyze the Mode of Power Damages By Neighbourhood chart. For instance, on 8 April at 8 AM, the mode of impact score for Power was ‘Violent’ for Chapparal. 1 hour later, there were no reports made by Chapparal. Since it was so violent, the power could have been cut off. In fact, there were no reports made till 9 April at 4 AM and we can infer that the power was restored at that time. | |
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+ | [[File:Powerchap.jpg|400px|center]] | ||
+ | The power outage can affect the accuracy of the true extent of the damage and affect the emergency response plan. Once the power is restored, the backlog starts to flow which results in a spike in the number of reports that were originally made on 8 April and not 9 April. | ||
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Revision as of 09:53, 12 October 2019
VAST 2019 MC1: Crowdsourcing for Situational Awareness
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Question: Use visual analytics to show uncertainty in the data. Compare the reliability of neighborhood reports. Which neighborhoods are providing reliable reports? Provide a rationale for your response. Limit your response to 1000 words and 10 images.
Contents
Insights
In order to assess the reliability of the reports, we will consider the following factors:
• A surge of reports were made before the earthquake
• Delay in reports due to power outage and reports made after the earthquake
• Comparison of maximum impact scores over time (Pre, Major and Post earthquake)
• Variation in reported impact levels by neighbourhoods in the same region. The region is based on the estimated distance to the epicentre of the earthquake (Close, Moderate, Far and Very Far). The variation within the neighbourhood can also be observed.
• Relationship between shake intensity and other damage types to analyze damage uncertainty
This is the timeframe that we will be using for this analysis.
A. Pre-Earthquake – 6 April to 8 April
B. Major Earthquake – 8 April. Note this refers to the day of the earthquake
C. Post-Earthquake – 9 April to 11 April
Summary | Detailed Description | ||||||||||||||||||
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We will analyze the data for the Pre-Earthquake Period (before 8 April). The filter is used to focus on this data. There is a spike in the number of reports on 6 April, 4 PM. We can see that Old Town, Scenic Vista and Broadview made a high number of reports at this timing across all damage types. Note that impact scores that are Null are not filtered out in this analysis. With reference to the shake map on 6 April, the shaking intensity was ‘Not Felt’. We will focus on this timing 6 April, 4 PM to 6 PM for this analysis. Since the shaking is Not Felt, we should expect less damage during this time period. We can expect some reports coming from the 3 neighbourhoods closest to the epicenter which is Old Town, Safe Town, and Cheddar Ford but the impact level shouldn’t be high. The average shake intensity for Safe Town was 2. The damage type filter for the mode chart is set to Shake Intensity. Safe Town was the only town with a mode of Weak from 4 PM to 6PM. At 7 PM, the mode changed back to Not Felt Since it is close to the source of the earthquake, it is acceptable and not an anomaly. The citizens might have overestimated the intensity of the shaking. Another possibility of why there is a surge of reports could be due to maintenance work. For example, we will focus on Roads and Bridges damages. There is maintenance work going on at Cheddarford which will result in delays. There is also more than 1 mode in the chart for Cheddarford and this is on 6 April, 6 PM which is 2 hours after the spike in reports. | |||||||||||||||||||
We can observe a surge in reports for Old Town, Scenic Vista, Broadview and Chapparal on 9 April. All of them show a similar pattern of a gap of not having any reports made before the surge. Chapparal had 1375 reports and Old Town had 4490 reports once power was restored. However, only a small number of reports were made by Wilson Forest once power was restored and it was only for 4 hours since there was another gap after 7 PM on 9 April. In order to confirm that a power outage is the reason behind the surge of reports, we can analyze the Mode of Power Damages By Neighbourhood chart. For instance, on 8 April at 8 AM, the mode of impact score for Power was ‘Violent’ for Chapparal. 1 hour later, there were no reports made by Chapparal. Since it was so violent, the power could have been cut off. In fact, there were no reports made till 9 April at 4 AM and we can infer that the power was restored at that time. The power outage can affect the accuracy of the true extent of the damage and affect the emergency response plan. Once the power is restored, the backlog starts to flow which results in a spike in the number of reports that were originally made on 8 April and not 9 April. | |||||||||||||||||||
From the shake intensity charts, we can deduce that the following cities need more help from 8 April, 8 AM to 11 AM: Old Town, Safe Town, Pepper Mill, and Wilson Forest as identified above. The team should respond to these cities. The number of reports made by neighborhood chart also shows that areas that are hardest hit may not always have a high number of reports and vice-versa. Therefore, using the mode of the impact score seems to be a better option in assessing the extent of the damage instead of solely using the number of reports in our analysis. | |||||||||||||||||||
The time frame for this analysis will be 8 April 8 AM to 11 AM. The hardest-hit areas identified in the previous dashboards are Old Town, Safe Town, Pepper Mill, and Wilson Forest. Taking this into consideration, we can further analyze the intensity of each damage type across the city in this dashboard. Do note that Wilson Forest is considered a high priority area despite the lack of reports. An assumption made is that the emergency response team comprise of different divisions and responders are specialized or trained to deal with a specific damage type. The following cities should receive a higher priority:
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