Difference between revisions of "Three horrible guys Project Report"
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==<div style="background: #8b1209; padding: 15px; line-height: 0.3em; text-indent: 15px; font-size:18px; font-family:Helvetica"><font color= #FFFFFF>Missing Area Analysis</font></div>== | ==<div style="background: #8b1209; padding: 15px; line-height: 0.3em; text-indent: 15px; font-size:18px; font-family:Helvetica"><font color= #FFFFFF>Missing Area Analysis</font></div>== | ||
<div style="font-family:Helvetica;font-size:16px"> | <div style="font-family:Helvetica;font-size:16px"> | ||
− | + | As we observe the generated trade areas, it seems there are some areas which are not covered by any of the branches. Hence, we decided to analyse these areas. | |
− | As we observe the generated trade areas, it seems there are some areas which are not covered by any of the | + | [[File:q1.png|300px|center]] |
− | + | <center>''Missing area 1''</center> | |
− | Missing area 1 | + | <br/> |
− | + | In the above figure, the uncovered area is 大安森林公园 which is a park. As it is not common to order an IFC product to a park, being uncovered is to be expected. | |
− | In the above figure, the uncovered area is 大安森林公园 which is a park. As it is not common to order | + | [[File:q2.png|300px|center]] |
− | + | <center>''Missing area 2''</center> | |
− | Missing area 2 | + | <br/> |
− | |||
In the above figure, we do see buildings that are not in any trade area. Therefore, this uncovered area may have been omitted and should be fulfilled by one of the branches. | In the above figure, we do see buildings that are not in any trade area. Therefore, this uncovered area may have been omitted and should be fulfilled by one of the branches. | ||
==<div style="background: #8b1209; padding: 15px; line-height: 0.3em; text-indent: 15px; font-size:18px; font-family:Helvetica"><font color= #FFFFFF>Store Sales Analysis</font></div>== | ==<div style="background: #8b1209; padding: 15px; line-height: 0.3em; text-indent: 15px; font-size:18px; font-family:Helvetica"><font color= #FFFFFF>Store Sales Analysis</font></div>== | ||
<div style="font-family:Helvetica;font-size:16px"> | <div style="font-family:Helvetica;font-size:16px"> | ||
+ | The yearly store sales of IFC located in Taiwan range from USD$6,809,445 - $13,863,637, with the branch YT being the lowest, and the branch MA having the highest sales. The median sales is branch SS, with USD$9597893.5 | ||
+ | [[File:q6.png|800px|center]] | ||
+ | <center>''Thematic map of overall Sales''</center> | ||
+ | <br/> | ||
+ | Based on the following thematic map, we can see that the top performers are branches YW,MA,CA and the branches WT,CR,YT are the worst performers. Our recommendation in this case would be to look at the factors surrounding the top performers and apply said factors to the worst performers in order to boost their sales. | ||
+ | [[File:q9.png|800px|center]] | ||
+ | <center>''Thematic map showing areas above/below median sales''</center> | ||
+ | <br/> | ||
+ | The map above reveals an interesting pattern, where the northern stores perform better than southern stores. Our suggestion would be to look at location based factors, such as type of buildings (residential/office) and see whether they vary between areas. It is also possible to look at connectivity with regards to road types, and see if accessibility is a problem for some stores. | ||
− | + | ==<div style="background: #8b1209; padding: 15px; line-height: 0.3em; text-indent: 15px; font-size:18px; font-family:Helvetica"><font color= #FFFFFF>Total Delivery Analysis</font></div>== | |
− | + | [[File:q12.png|800px|center]] | |
+ | <center>''Thematic map for delivery sales''</center> | ||
+ | <br/> | ||
+ | Unsurprisingly, having a high delivery count leads to higher sales when compared to the sales thematic map . This is possible as unlike a store where products are priced with vastly different ranges E.g. $5, $5000, the price range of IFC products are roughly the same. Although there might be orders which are of higher value, it seems these orders do not affect the sales amount by much. The exception to this is the area ST, where although it has a comparable delivery count to areas that perform better than the median, it is still slightly behind in sales. | ||
− | + | ==<div style="background: #8b1209; padding: 15px; line-height: 0.3em; text-indent: 15px; font-size:18px; font-family:Helvetica"><font color= #FFFFFF>Population Density Analysis</font></div>== | |
− | + | [[File:q15.png|800px|center]] | |
+ | <center>''Thematic map showing normalized population density''</center> | ||
+ | <br/> | ||
+ | From the above charts where we analyse the normalized population density, we can see that most stores have a high population density. However, when compared to the thematic map of sales, it seems that population density has little to no relation; having a higher population density does not necessarily mean higher sales. | ||
− | + | ==<div style="background: #8b1209; padding: 15px; line-height: 0.3em; text-indent: 15px; font-size:18px; font-family:Helvetica"><font color= #FFFFFF>Buffer Analysis</font></div>== | |
+ | Buffer Analysis was performed to evaluate the proximity of each IFC. | ||
+ | [[File:q18.png|800px|center]] | ||
+ | <center>''Map showing 500m buffer and competitors''</center> | ||
+ | <br/> | ||
+ | Based on the 500m buffer, we can see that there are 3 overlapping pairs of stores: | ||
+ | * WT,KT | ||
+ | * CA,SS | ||
+ | * KF,HH | ||
+ | [[File:q19.png|800px|center]] | ||
+ | <center>''Map showing 1000m buffer and competitors''</center> | ||
+ | <br/> | ||
+ | In the 1000m buffer, we can see all stores have some form of overlap with each other. | ||
+ | [[File:q21.png|800px|center]] | ||
+ | <center>''Map showing 500m & 1000m buffers and competitors''</center> | ||
+ | <br/> | ||
+ | When we overlay the two maps, we can see that the overall proximity of IFC stores to each other in Taipei is rather close. This has interesting implications, as some competitors might affect multiple stores due to the close proximities. | ||
− | + | ==<div style="background: #8b1209; padding: 15px; line-height: 0.3em; text-indent: 15px; font-size:18px; font-family:Helvetica"><font color= #FFFFFF>Nearest Competitor to Store Analysis</font></div>== | |
− | + | [[File:q22.png|800px|center]] | |
+ | <center>''Map depicting nearest competitor to store''</center> | ||
+ | <br/> | ||
+ | Based on our findings in the buffer analysis where there are some competitors in close proximity to multiple stores, we decided to map each individual competitor to the nearest IFC store to give a more accurate representation of the competition. Through this, we can find competitors that are in different trade areas but are actually closer to a particular IFC store. | ||
+ | [[File:q23.png|800px|center]] | ||
+ | <center>''Example of incorrect competitor''</center> | ||
+ | <br/> | ||
+ | As it turns out, there are a few competitors that are “incorrect” in areas KT and YW, denoted by the black circles in the map above. Our suggestion is to recalibrate each store’s competitors with some consideration to absolute distance, rather than to just consider the competitors located in the trade area each IFC store is located in. | ||
− | + | ==<div style="background: #8b1209; padding: 15px; line-height: 0.3em; text-indent: 15px; font-size:18px; font-family:Helvetica"><font color= #FFFFFF>Network Analysis (Shortest Path)</font></div>== | |
− | + | <div style="font-family:Helvetica;font-size:16px"> | |
+ | We realized that for every map IFC provided in PowerPoint they have a node which indicated the travel time to each region. However, we realized that this time is only calculated with the main external road without taking into consideration that there were other roads within each Trade Area that can be utilized for travel time. We created centroids for each subzone that would provide a more accurate estimation of Travel Time for IFC. The travel speed for delivery riders is assumed to be at 20km/hr. Although Taiwan's average road speed is at 40km/hr, we decided to put it at 20km/hr to take into account traffic conditions such as traffic lights and traffic jams. | ||
− | + | [[File:q28.png|500px|center]] | |
− | + | <center>''Shortest Path''</center> | |
− | + | ==<div style="background: #8b1209; padding: 15px; line-height: 0.3em; text-indent: 15px; font-size:18px; font-family:Helvetica"><font color= #FFFFFF>Multivariate Regression Analysis</font></div>== | |
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− | ==<div style="background: #8b1209; padding: 15px; line-height: 0.3em; text-indent: 15px; font-size:18px; font-family:Helvetica"><font color= #FFFFFF> | ||
<div style="font-family:Helvetica;font-size:16px"> | <div style="font-family:Helvetica;font-size:16px"> | ||
− | + | We performed Regression Analysis using the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) method to identify any predictor factors that could be used to predict what point of interest can make an impact on the sales in the region. | |
− | |||
− | + | [[File:q30.png|500px|center]] | |
− | + | <center>''Results''</center> | |
− | + | There are 5 significant points, | |
− | + | *Hotel | |
+ | *Medical Service | ||
+ | *School | ||
+ | *Commuter Rail Station | ||
+ | *Grocery Stores | ||
− | + | Hotel, Medical Service and School points are common places one might order a food delivery service to. Hotels have guest who would like to order food in the comfort of their room. Medical Service points might have staff who are too busy to eat their meals, and thus order delivery in order to get food. Schools are full of students who snack and order pizza regularly. All these thus affecting overall sales of the store. However, Commuter Rail Station and Grocery Stores do not make much sense in the context of our model and require further analysis | |
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Latest revision as of 20:22, 22 November 2019
Contents
Missing Area Analysis
As we observe the generated trade areas, it seems there are some areas which are not covered by any of the branches. Hence, we decided to analyse these areas.
In the above figure, the uncovered area is 大安森林公园 which is a park. As it is not common to order an IFC product to a park, being uncovered is to be expected.
In the above figure, we do see buildings that are not in any trade area. Therefore, this uncovered area may have been omitted and should be fulfilled by one of the branches.
Store Sales Analysis
The yearly store sales of IFC located in Taiwan range from USD$6,809,445 - $13,863,637, with the branch YT being the lowest, and the branch MA having the highest sales. The median sales is branch SS, with USD$9597893.5
Based on the following thematic map, we can see that the top performers are branches YW,MA,CA and the branches WT,CR,YT are the worst performers. Our recommendation in this case would be to look at the factors surrounding the top performers and apply said factors to the worst performers in order to boost their sales.
The map above reveals an interesting pattern, where the northern stores perform better than southern stores. Our suggestion would be to look at location based factors, such as type of buildings (residential/office) and see whether they vary between areas. It is also possible to look at connectivity with regards to road types, and see if accessibility is a problem for some stores.
Total Delivery Analysis
Unsurprisingly, having a high delivery count leads to higher sales when compared to the sales thematic map . This is possible as unlike a store where products are priced with vastly different ranges E.g. $5, $5000, the price range of IFC products are roughly the same. Although there might be orders which are of higher value, it seems these orders do not affect the sales amount by much. The exception to this is the area ST, where although it has a comparable delivery count to areas that perform better than the median, it is still slightly behind in sales.
Population Density Analysis
From the above charts where we analyse the normalized population density, we can see that most stores have a high population density. However, when compared to the thematic map of sales, it seems that population density has little to no relation; having a higher population density does not necessarily mean higher sales.
Buffer Analysis
Buffer Analysis was performed to evaluate the proximity of each IFC.
Based on the 500m buffer, we can see that there are 3 overlapping pairs of stores:
- WT,KT
- CA,SS
- KF,HH
In the 1000m buffer, we can see all stores have some form of overlap with each other.
When we overlay the two maps, we can see that the overall proximity of IFC stores to each other in Taipei is rather close. This has interesting implications, as some competitors might affect multiple stores due to the close proximities.
Nearest Competitor to Store Analysis
Based on our findings in the buffer analysis where there are some competitors in close proximity to multiple stores, we decided to map each individual competitor to the nearest IFC store to give a more accurate representation of the competition. Through this, we can find competitors that are in different trade areas but are actually closer to a particular IFC store.
As it turns out, there are a few competitors that are “incorrect” in areas KT and YW, denoted by the black circles in the map above. Our suggestion is to recalibrate each store’s competitors with some consideration to absolute distance, rather than to just consider the competitors located in the trade area each IFC store is located in.
Network Analysis (Shortest Path)
We realized that for every map IFC provided in PowerPoint they have a node which indicated the travel time to each region. However, we realized that this time is only calculated with the main external road without taking into consideration that there were other roads within each Trade Area that can be utilized for travel time. We created centroids for each subzone that would provide a more accurate estimation of Travel Time for IFC. The travel speed for delivery riders is assumed to be at 20km/hr. Although Taiwan's average road speed is at 40km/hr, we decided to put it at 20km/hr to take into account traffic conditions such as traffic lights and traffic jams.
Multivariate Regression Analysis
We performed Regression Analysis using the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) method to identify any predictor factors that could be used to predict what point of interest can make an impact on the sales in the region.
There are 5 significant points,
- Hotel
- Medical Service
- School
- Commuter Rail Station
- Grocery Stores
Hotel, Medical Service and School points are common places one might order a food delivery service to. Hotels have guest who would like to order food in the comfort of their room. Medical Service points might have staff who are too busy to eat their meals, and thus order delivery in order to get food. Schools are full of students who snack and order pizza regularly. All these thus affecting overall sales of the store. However, Commuter Rail Station and Grocery Stores do not make much sense in the context of our model and require further analysis