ISSS608 2017-18 T1 Assign LIM LIANG DANNY Containment

Smartpolis Epidemic Outbreak | A Visual Detective Journal

Preface

Approach

Ground Zero Location

Epidemic Outbreak

Containment

Was the epidemic outbreak contained?

Containment of Respiratory Viral Outbreak

As shown in our earlier findings, the respiratory viral outbreak is pretty much spread across the whole Vastopolis city while concentration are mainly in Downtown and Uptown area. From the line graph above, on the 20 May the no. of cases reported in most of the city zone has drop to the initial level on 18 May after a surge on 19 May. The up and down of the no. of cases reported could be a sign of containment where the viral outbreak is already under control.

However, while every other cityzone is having a drop in reported case, the population density line graph shows that there is a surge in Reported Case to Population Density ratio in Smogtown on 20 May. The surge is highly possible due to the fact that it is where the ground zero location for the respiratory infection and people residing in the zone are continuing to get sick due to inhaling of the harmful smoke (first hand) after the explosion.

Recommendation: To mobilize emergency personnel to be deployed at Smogtown to prevent another similar outbreak in Downtown and Uptown area. Additionally, more medical personnel shall be deployed across all 13 hospital who are already receiving an influx of respiratory infected patients. Ideally, to separate the infected from the the rest of the public to prevent further outbreak within or near the hospital.

Containment of Gastrointestinal Viral Outbreak

The gastrointestinal viral outbreak is pretty much contained and kept within Plainville, Smogtown, Villa and Westside that are situated along the both side of the river bank. However, there is yet to have any sign of decline in the number of case reported as we are only looking at 2 days worth of data after the outbreak. As such, there is still a possibility that the gastrointestinal infections will continue to spread outside the infected area especially towards the area south west of Smogtown where the river flows towards.

Recommendation: To mobilize emergency personnel to be deployed at Smogtown to prevent further spread of the gastrointestinal infections and keep resident away from the Vast river until the contaminated water are cleared downstream.

Conclusion

As Smogtown was pointed out twice as the "RED ZONE" for both respiratory and gastrointestinal outbreak, it is important to keep a close monitor of the reported in the areas so as to prevent further complication of epidemic outbreak. It is important to continue monitor the microblog messages for the next 3 days to have a better picture of the epidemic containment. As of now, it seems that both outbreak are not fully under control.