Difference between revisions of "ISSS608 2017-18 T1 Assign RACHEL TONG GroundZero"
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− | [[ | + | [[ ISSS608_2017-18_T1_Assign_RACHEL_TONG_GroundZero| <font color="#FFFFFF">'''Origins'''</font>]] |
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− | [[ | + | [[ ISSS608_2017-18_T1_Assign_RACHEL_TONG_DiseaseSpreadHypothesis| <font color="#FFFFFF">'''Transmission'''</font>]] |
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− | [[ | + | [[ISSS608_2017-18_T1_Assign_RACHEL_TONG_OutbreakContainmentStatus| <font color="#FFFFFF">'''Containment'''</font>]] |
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− | [[ | + | [[ISSS608_2017-18_T1_Assign_RACHEL_TONG_ConcludingRemarks| <font color="#FFFFFF">'''Coda'''</font>]] |
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Revision as of 22:16, 14 October 2017
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Part I - Origins |
This section of the notes is dedicated to understanding the disease origins.
Preliminary Exploration
In order to decipher the origins of the disease, some preliminary understanding of the situation was necessary. The sections below detail the major findings.
Characterizing Symptoms
From phrase/text-based classification of the Symptoms, 2 distinct symptom groupings, classified based on geolocation clustering and concentration variations with time, are observed to be present. The table below summarizes some of the characteristics observed.
Symptom Type | Symptoms | Patterns Observed | First Observed |
---|---|---|---|
Gastrointestinal-related | Nausea Diarrhea |
Strongly concentrated at Plainville/Westside/Smogtown, along river banks | 05/19/2011, morning |
Traditional Flu-like symptoms | Fever Sore throat Cough Cold Shortness of breath Chills & aches |
Strongly concentrated at central region (Downtown, Uptown), and some spillover to Eastside. Slight funnel shape observed, from western downtown region and spreading out towards the east. |
05/18/2011, morning |
Major Events in Smartpolis
Keeping in mind the possible disease origins and modes of transmissions detailed above, a text-based search was carried out to elucidate major events that occurred over the period of 30 April to 20 May 2011 in Smartpolis. Some of the possible relevant events and incidents include:
Event | Date | Location |
---|---|---|
Antique Convention | 05/04/2011 | Convention Center, Uptown |
Baseball Game | 05/09/2011 | Westside Stadium, Westside |
Sham Wow Convention | 05/11/2011 | Convention Center, Uptown |
Plane crash and fire | 05/13/2011 | Vastopolis Airport, Northville |
Comic Convention | 05/16/2011 | Convention Center, Uptown |
Explosion | 05/17/2011 | Smogtown |
Truck accident/spillage of cargo | 05/17/2011 | Highway 610 along bridge |
Basketball Match | 05/18/2011 | Vastopolis Dome, Downtown |
Technology Convention | 05/18/2011 | Convention Center, Uptown |
Ground Zero Hypothesis
- Likely waterborne, originating from truck cargo spillage on 17th May.
- Contents likely to have contaminated river, affecting downstream river bank regions (Plainville, Westside, Smogtown)
<insert flash file>
Traditional Flu-type Symptoms
- Symptom-related posts appear in funnel shape, concentrated from Bridge 610 in central region (Downtown), eastwards
- As such, hypothesis is that origin is also likely due to truck cargo spillage; since on 17th, wind was blowing from west to east.
- First human contraction is likely via airborne medium exposure.
<insert flash file>
<insert plot>
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