ISSS608 2017-18 T1 Assign RACHEL TONG

---

The Smartpolis Daily Saturday, 21 May 2011 By CHELAR TNOG

---

Mystery Outbreak: Hospitals Scramble to handle Deluge of Patients amid baseline Overcrowding problem
VASTOPOLIS CITY HOSPITAL, SMARTPOLIS - Already feeling the pinch of pre-existing overcrowding problems in the face of a steadily declining workforce, Smartpolis’ hospitals appear to be hit with yet another blow in the form of a recent mystery outbreak.

Over the last few days, health professionals have observed an unusual surge in hospital admissions for similar flu-like cases. Observed symptoms include fever, chills, sweats, aches and pains, fatigue, coughing, breathing difficulty, nausea and vomiting, diarrhea, and enlarged lymph nodes. More recently, several deaths are believed to be associated with the current outbreak. From an operational perspective, the dramatic increase in admissions has put even more strain on the already understaffed and overcrowded healthcare facilities.

Thus far, authorities have confirmed a similar surge in cases across all 13 local hospital facilities, and fear a possible epidemic in the horizon. Sources report that city officials have begun mobilizing emergency management resources to mitigate the impact. -CHELAR T./THE SMARTPOLIS DAILY

---

Task Notes

From the Desk of Senior Specialist R Tong [Department of Epidemiology, Smartpolis]

Goal: To provide an assessment of the situation, including

• Identifying outbreak origins | Part I
• Developing hypothesis for disease transmission | Part II
• Determining outbreak containment Status | Part III

The following files document the details of the analysis:

Home

Preface

Origins

Transmission

Containment

Coda

Resources

Raw Data

The following data has been provided for analysis:

1. Microblog message file: This is a dataset of approximately 1 million microblog messages collected from various devices with GPS capabilities over the period of 3 weeks (30 April 2011 to 20 May 2011).
2. Satellite map image: This satellite image is a map of the entire Smartpolis metropolitan area. It contains labelled highways, water bodies, and major landmarks, and also shows the demarcation of Smartpolis’ 13 major regions.
3. Supplementary data: Supplementary data is provided in the form of region-specific day and night population statistics, and daily observed weather data. Additional notable aspects include:

<to be continued>

Software Used in Analysis

• SAS JMP Pro 13.0.0 (64-bit)
• Tableau Desktop - Professional Edition 10.3.2 (64-bit)

Other References <to be continued>

---

Home

Preface

Origins

Transmission

Containment

Coda