ISSS608 2017-18 T1 Assign XING SIYUAN Conclusion
Epidemic Spread in Smartpolis - Origin and Transmission
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Conclusion
There are two types of epidemic that is spreading in Smartpolis, one is Gastrointestinal diseases and the other is Inhalation diseases.
Inhalation disease are transmitted by both person to person and airborne. The symptoms of inhalation disease started to appear on 17 May from the Smogtown, Downtown and Uptown area. It had spreaded to all areas in Smartpolis, especially in Downtown, Uptown and Eastside areas, where located at downwind of Smartipolis and the density of population is relatively higher than other areas.
Gastrointestinal disease are transmitted by waterborne. The symptoms starts to appear on 19 of May, it has been spreaded alone Vast river. The macroblogs density shows that the spread direction of gastrointestinal symptoms is the same with the flow direction of Vast river. The main affected region by gastrointestinal diseases were areas near lower reaches of Vast river, i.e. Smogtown, Plainville and south area of Villa and Westside.
Both of the disease seems to be breakout on 18 May. With text analysis on macroblogs post in intersection of the origin of both disease, we know that on 18 May, there was a terrible truck accident. The accident might cause the pollution of Vast river and that is why people live alone the river has suffered from gastrointestinal problem. In addition, traffic jam caused by the accident make large group of people gather together for a long time, that may cause the spread of inhalation disease.
For Inhalation diseases, the situation start to getting better but we need to be carefully look at the weather of the next few days, especially the wind direction to prevent spread of the disease. For gastrointestinal disease, there is a trend that people are getting worth in the last few days. Hence, it is urgent for the government to come up with method to contain the situation.
