ISSS608 2017-18 T1 Assign MA XIAOLIU The cause of this epidemic

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Timg.jpg Epidemic Spread in Smartpoils

Overview

Data Preparation

Epidemic exploration

Transmission and development

Conclusion


Spread and Transmission

Separate the symptoms to different illness group. For different disease, there might be different transmitted method.

Ma.png

Flulike illness which is related to Respiratory

Airbone

For the cause of the illness might be smoke and Poisonous gases, airbone might be a transmitted way. Check the weather and wind condition from May 14, which is the issue happens time, to the last day. The weather is clear and cloud, besides the wind power is very strong. This kind of weather is very suitable for smoke and gases transmission.

Ma Weather.png

From the distribution of Respiratory disease, it can be found that this disease transmitted to the left sides gradually. This happens to be the same direction as the wind. SO it can be inferred that airbone is one of the transmitted method. Besides, on May 20, many people go to nearby hospital.

Respiratory disease transmitted.png


person to person

Ma Population.png

Intestines and stomach disease

Waterbone

From the picture, it can be found that on May 19, the symptoms appear. On May 20, the disease spread around and the number of people who get ill is increasing. However, the symptoms distribution only near the river. Combing with the car accident which happen on 610 highway near the river, It can be inferred that the toxic substances produced in the car accident flow down the river. The river supply the daily water to nearby citizens, so residents absorb the toxic substances in the river.

Intestines and stomach disease transmitted.png