ISSS608 2017-18 T1 Assign Fam Guo Teng
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Contents
Background
Smartpolis is a major metropolitan area with a population of approximately two million residents. During the last few days, health professionals at local hospitals have noticed a dramatic increase in reported illnesses.
Observed symptoms are largely flu-like and include fever, chills, sweats, aches and pains, fatigue, coughing, breathing difficulty, nausea and vomiting, diarrhea, and enlarged lymph nodes. More recently, there have been several deaths believed to be associated with the current outbreak. City officials fear a possible epidemic and are mobilizing emergency management resources to mitigate the impact. I have been charged with providing an assessment of the situation.
Two datasets have been provided. The first one contains microblog messages collected from various devices with GPS capabilities. These devices include laptop computers, handheld computers, and cellular phones. The second one contains map information for the entire metropolitan area. The map dataset contains a satellite image with labeled highways, hospitals, important landmarks, and water bodies. Supplemental tables for population statistics and observed weather data have also been provided, along with any additional information.
Objectives of Study
- To identify approximately where the outbreak started on the map (ground zero location). To outline the affected area and explain steps leading to conclusion (Answer to be described using at most six images and 500 words)
- To present a hypothesis on how the infection is being transmitted. Possible methods of transmission include: person-to-person, airborne, waterborne, or others. Identify the trends that support the hypothesis. (Answer to be described using at most ten images and 1000 words)
- To deduce whether the outbreak is contained. Describe whether it is necessary for emergency management personnel to deploy treatment resources outside the affected area and explain the reasons. (Answer to be limited to ten images and 1000 words)
Location Population Density
| Zone Name | Population Density | Daytime Population |
|---|---|---|
| Cornertown | 59524 | 59226 |
| Downtown | 89286 | 258928 |
| Eastside | 178571 | 125000 |
| Lakeside | 297619 | 181548 |
| Northville | 119048 | 95238 |
| Plainville | 208333 | 147916 |
| Riverside | 238095 | 230952 |
| Smogtown | 29762 | 27976 |
| Southville | 178571 | 110714 |
| Suburbia | 446429 | 392858 |
| Uptown | 29762 | 116072 |
| Villa | 178571 | 173214 |
| Westside | 148810 | 282739 |
Notable Events
During the period of 04/30/11 to 05/20/11, lots of events had happened within Smartpolis. The following list denotes some of these events, the locations where they happened and the date/timings.
- Antique Convention Near Capital Building and Uptown Convention Center: 05/04/2011 8:00 AM - 05/04/2011 11:59 PM
- Sham Wow Convention Near Capital Building and Uptown Convention Center: 05/11/2011 7:00 AM - 05/11/2011 11:59 PM
- Plane Crash near Vastopolis Airport: 05/13/2011 2:00 PM - 05/13/2011 11:00 PM
- Comic Convention Near Capital Building and Uptown Convention Center: 05/16/2011 7:00 AM - 05/16/2011 10:12 PM
- Smogtown Explosion Near Smogtown: 05/17/2011 9:00 AM - 05/17/2011 9:00 PM
- Technology Convention Near Capital Building and Uptown Convention Center: 05/18/2011 9:00 AM - 05/18/2011 8:00 PM
- Basketball Game at Vastopolis Dome: 05/18/2011 1:00 PM - 05/19/2011 12:00 AM
- Second Truck Explosion near I-124 Bridge: 05/19/2011 8:00 AM - 05/19/2011 3:00 PM
Software Used
- SAS JMP Pro 13.0.0 (64-bit) - For analysis and visualization purposes
- Tableau Desktop Professional Edition v10.3.2 (64-bit) & Tableau Online - For web-based interactive system link and alternative visualization
Assumptions
- The amount of microblog messages are correlated to the number of infected people in Smartpolis. If more people are infected by the outbreak, then more people will microblog about it in social media.
- Besides airborne, waterborne, and person-to-person transmissions, there could be other types of transmission methods such as animal-to-person and plant-to-person transmissions. However, investigation within the given data does not reveal any details of such alternative transmission methods and hence these methods will not be included in the analysis.
Link to Web-based Interactive Data Visualization System
For easy web hosting of the interactive chart used in the analysis (JMP Pro 13.0 Bubble Plot), Tableau Online is used as an alternative visualization platform:
