ISSS608 2016-17 T3 Assign MAO CHENXIN

Problem and Motivation

Mistford is a mid-size city is located to the southwest of a large nature preserve. The city has a small industrial area with four light-manufacturing endeavors. Mitch Vogel is a post-doc student studying ornithology at Mistford College and has been discovering signs that the number of nesting pairs of the Rose-Crested Blue Pipit, a popular local bird due to its attractive plumage and pleasant songs, is decreasing! The decrease is sufficiently significant that the Pangera Ornithology Conservation Society is sponsoring Mitch to undertake additional studies to identify the possible reasons. Mitch is gaining access to several datasets that may help him in his work, and he has asked you (and your colleagues) as experts in visual analytics to help him analyze these datasets.

The dataset is taken from Visual Analytics Community: VAST Challenge 2017- Mini Challenge 1

Mini Challenge 1

The Boonsong Lekagul Nature Preserve is used by local residents and tourists for day-trips, overnight camping or sometimes just passing through to access main thoroughfares on the opposite sides of the preserve. The entrance booths of the preserve are monitored in order to generate revenue as well as monitor usage. Vehicles entering and exiting the preserve must pay a fee based on their number of axles (personal auto, recreational trailer, semi-trailer, etc.). This generates a data stream with entry/exit timestamps and vehicle type. There are also other locations in the part that register traffic passing through. While hiking through the various parts of the preserve, Mitch has noticed some odd behaviors of vehicles that he doesn’t think are consistent with the kinds of park visitors he would expect. If there were some way that Mitch could analyze the behaviors of vehicles through the park over time, this may assist him in his investigations.

Questions

1. “Patterns of Life” analyses depend on recognizing repeating patterns of activities by individuals or groups. Describe up to six daily patterns of life by vehicles traveling through and within the park. Characterize the patterns by describing the kinds of vehicles participating, their spatial activities (where do they go?), their temporal activities (when does the pattern happen?), and provide a hypothesis of what the pattern represents (for example, if I drove to a coffee house every morning, but did not stay for long, you might hypothesize I’m getting coffee “to-go”). Please limit your answer to six images and 500 words.
   
   
2. Patterns of Life analyses may also depend on understanding what patterns appear over longer periods of time (in this case, over multiple days). Describe up to six patterns of life that occur over multiple days (including across the entire data set) by vehicles traveling through and within the park. Characterize the patterns by describing the kinds of vehicles participating, their spatial activities (where do they go?), their temporal activities (when does the pattern happen?), and provide a hypothesis of what the pattern represents (for example, many vehicles showing up at the same location each Saturday at the same time may suggest some activity occurring there each Saturday). Please limit your answer to six images and 500 words.
   
   
3. Unusual patterns may be patterns of activity that changes from an established pattern, or are just difficult to explain from what you know of a situation. Describe up to six unusual patterns (either single day or multiple days) and highlight why you find them unusual. Please limit your answer to six images and 500 words.
   
   
4. What are the top 3 patterns you discovered that you suspect could be most impactful to bird life in the nature preserve? (Provide a short text answer.)
   
   

Approaches

Tools Utilized

• Tableau 10.2
• JMP Pro 13

Results

Question 1: Daily patterns of life by vehicles

From the daily traffic in 24 hours:

• 2 axle car (or motorcycle), 2 axle truck and 3 axle truck were the most popular car types. For these 3 types of cars, most activities happened from 5am to 22pm (except one car with id 20154519024544-322). 7am to 4pm was the peak time.
• For park vehicle (with the type "2P" in the dataset), the working hours is from 6am to 3am (next day). At 17pm, the number of rangers' cars decreased significantly, when the numbers of 2 axle car (or mobile), 2 axle truck and 3 axle truck decreased as well.
• No obvious changes of time for the other 3 types of cars - 2 axle bus, 3 axle bus and 4 axle (and above) truck. Besides, these 3 types of cars account for the least traffic in the preserve from May 2015 to May 2016.

From the daily traffic by sensors:

• For camping, there are only three types of cars - 2 axle car (or motorcycle), 2 axle truck and 3 axle truck. Almost all of these cars traveled in and out the camping site from 5am to 22pm.
• Only Park Vehicle and 4 axle (and above) truck accessed gate, from 6am to 2am and from 2am to 5am respectively.

Question 2: Long-term patterns

From the weekly traffic:

• 2 axle car (or motorcycle), 2 axle truck and 3 axle truck were the most popular car types used in the preserve. For these 3 types of cars, most activities happened on weekends (from Friday to Sunday).
• No obvious changes of time for the other 4 types of cars - 2 axle bus, 3 axle bus, 4 axle (and above) truck and park vehicle ("2P").

From the monthly traffic:

• 2 axle car (or motorcycle), 2 axle truck and 3 axle truck were the most popular car types used in the preserve.
• Almost all the car types follow the seasonal popularity: summer (June - August) is the most popular season, followed by autumn (September and October) and spring (April and May), except 3 axle bus.

From the horizon chart of traffic by sensor:

• Apart from rangers, most visitors came to the preserve for camping.
• Take camping and ranger a closer look at. Compared with the same month (May) in 2015, the traffic of 2016 May increased a little, indicating that the preserve will be more popular in 2016.

Question 3: Unusual patterns

From the route of a car (id: 20154519024544-322):

• After entering the preserve from entrance 1 on 19th June, this car traveled in and out the preserve for 16 times in the same frequency during the following 108 days through entrance 4! Interestingly, it spent more time in other areas than that in the camping site 4. What kind of scenery along the route can attract them to visit the same place every three days for constant three months?
• If this car was to go camping, why it always and only it left the camping site 4 after 22pm?
• If it wanted to leave from entrance 4, why they drove around the preserve every time instead of taking a quicker and more convenient route (marked in blue as "Alternative")?

Question 4: Top3 impactful to birds

1. Overnight camping, which is the main activities in the preserve, may hurt the birds intentionally or unintentionally, especially in some camping sites with dense distribution of birds (Unfortunately, the information of distribution of birds was not provided).
2. The real purpose of the car (id: 20154519024544-322) with the strange behavior traveled frequently should be examined carefully.
3. Driving at high speed may disturb or hurt the birds, which needs further study.

Reference

1. VAST Challenge 2017- Mini Challenge 1

Comments

Please feel free to provide your valuable comments! Thank you.
—— Chenxin

Comment 1: Hi Chenxin, First of all, the wiki page of your assignment is succinct and well organised without some confusing navigations. Secondly, I do see that your visualisation reveals some useful insights. Please find my feedback and comments as follows: Data Preparation I find the Data Preparation section is missing in your current submission. In doing data analytics and data visualization, I regard data preparation as a critical process which would reflect your thinking processes. I feel that data preparation cannot be done at one shot but iteratively. Your assignment would be complete and better with data preparation. Data Visualization 1. Aesthetic I do see that your data visulization reveals some useful insights by using line chart, however, I also find that your work is mainly done through line chart. I guess you may find some other ideas and insights by trying various charts which we have learnt so far. For the 1st chart in answering Q1, I found that the general trend or pattern is correct but there are discrepancies in details, which may be resulted from the incorrect data type in Y axis. For the 2nd chart in answering Q2, If the purpose of the chart is to show some patterns and do some comparisons, I think the average lines are not necessary as the pattern and difference can be easily seen from the chart itself. 2. Clarity It would be better if every chart has a succinct and meaningful chart title. Other than the unusual pattern detected in your work, I guess there are still some other abnormal patterns which you may want to explore more. The assignment specification mentions the car speed should not exceed 25 mph, would some car travel faster than the speed limit? would traveling faster affect birds? Hope my feedback and comments may be helpful. Please also leave your feedback and comments to my page. Thank you. :) Cheers, Lingfei

Comment 2: Hi Chenxin, You have done a great job in this assignment, in the way of finding the patterns from the given dataset and interpreting the insights from the patterns. My comments on this assignment are as following: 1) Please add your data preparation works here 2) I realised that there is no interpretation/reasonable assumption based on the pattern you have found. Please refer to the requirement of Question1 and 2 3) For your section Question3, the first picture is too pale for me, it is hard to see the elements/routes clearly. Furthermore, there is no highlight in the picture, which is hard for me to get the point of this picture. My suggestion of this picture is either you can highlight the suspicious route in this picture, or you can delete the picture but highlight the suspicious one in the map only. Hope my suggestion can be helpful for you :) Best Wishes, Yingbei