Difference between revisions of "ISSS608 2016-17 T3 Anuthama Patterns of Life"

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[[ISSS608_2016-17 T3 Anuthama Patterns of Life| <font color="#070002">'''Q2'''</font>]]
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[[ISSS608_2016-17 T3 Anuthama Hypothesis| <font color="#070002">'''Q2'''</font>]]
  
 
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[[ISSS608_2016-17 T3 Anuthama Unusual Patterns| <font color="#070002">'''Q3'''</font>]]
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[[ISSS608_2016-17 T3 Anuthama Hypothesis| <font color="#070002">'''Q3'''</font>]]
  
 
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== Patterns of Life over Time==
== Patterns of Life - Daily==
 
 
<br/>
 
<br/>
I start off the analysis by observing the daily overall traffic patterns and flows. That would be the starting point to understand the car movements across the preserve.
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Upon understanding a few of the daily patterns it is not a good idea to look at the patterns over longer period. Lets begin by understanding the time spent at the different areas at the preserve.
  
 
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* 6 am – 6 pm are the busiest hours for the preserve.From 6-8 am the count of cars inside the preserve increases sharply and from 6-8 pm the number of cars decreases
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* In general Camping sites are the places where people spent most of their time
* This plot also shows that Friday-Sunday are busier. This is probably due to weekend visitors or weekend campers
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* Among camps – camping site  5 >4>8> are more popular. This is not a surprise, the surprising thing is that the time spent at camp 1 is drastically less in comparison to certain entrances and general gates [ like entrance 4 and general gate 7 and 2]
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[[Image:anu_pic6.png|500px|center|100%]]
  
[[Image:pattern 1.png|800px|100%]]
 
  
 
<br/>
 
<br/>
Next I analyse the traffic at the different gate types in order to drill down on the traffic patterns and flows. I have called out only the interesting findings. Other gates though analysed have not been reported.
 
  
<div style="padding-left:15px; text-align:left">
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We are curious to know if this pattern is observed across all months or seen only for certain months. Each point on the box plot refers to  a month. The box plot on the left confirms that people spent the least amount of time at camp site 1 across all months in comparison to other camp sites. On the other hand we want to investigate if this is due to an overall decrease in cars at camp site 1. The box plot on the right shows that much fewer people chose to camp at camp site 1.
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[[Image:anu_pic7.png|500px|center|100%]]
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<br/>
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 +
 
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<div style="padding-left:15px; text-align:left">  
 
<font size = 3; color="#070002"><span style="font-family:Ariel;">''' Pattern 2'''</span></font>  
 
<font size = 3; color="#070002"><span style="font-family:Ariel;">''' Pattern 2'''</span></font>  
 
</div>
 
</div>
  
* 11PM – 4 AM, there is almost no movement at camp sites. The camping gates are probably closed during these hours. 7 AM – 5 PM there is increased activity around camp sites
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There is a steep decline in overall vehicle count from November onward through March. This period coincides with winter and it is possible that the park is not preferred during this period.
* The plot reveals that camp sites are busy even during week days not just weekends. We see a surge in time spent at camp site especially during weekends. This is in alignment with the overall increase in traffic during weekends
 
  
<br/>
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[[Image:anu_pic8.png|500px|center|100%]]
This dashboard enables us to explore the relationship between the gate types, car types that pass through the gates as well as the time related data like how long the vehicle was at the gate and at what time of the day.Here I have filtered for camps revealing only the distribution of car types at camps and the time data related to camps
 
  
[[Image:anu-pic2.png|800px|100%]]
 
 
<div style="padding-left:15px; text-align:left">  
 
<div style="padding-left:15px; text-align:left">  
 
<font size = 3; color="#070002"><span style="font-family:Ariel;">''' Pattern 3'''</span></font>  
 
<font size = 3; color="#070002"><span style="font-family:Ariel;">''' Pattern 3'''</span></font>  
 
</div>
 
</div>
* By looking at the distribution of vehicles at camp site, we notice that there are no 4 axle (and above) truck,2 axle bus and 3 axle buses in the camping site. May be these large vehicles are not allowed to camp.
 
  
<br/>
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The ranger base was accessed by only 2P vehicles.Surprisingly, 2P vehicles have not crossed any entrance at all. [ This is strange, do they have another entry/exit ?] . How are they assigned thee car ids if they do not pass through the entrance ?
We noticed some noteworthy findings at the gates
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[[Image:anu_pic9.png|800px|center|100%]]
  
 
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* Gates are sparsely used form 12 AM – 5 AM.We see a surge on Wednesdays .
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June, July and August is when the camps are popular, with 2 axle car spending the most time at camp sites followed by 2 axle truck
* There is also an intrusion of gates by 4 axle(and above) truck. We will discuss this in Q3.
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The first arrow confirms the trespassing at Gates by type 4 vehicles which we noticed previously.This pattern in seen across all months except April. In Q1 we detected this trespassing at Gates and now we find more information about this trespassing. It does not look like a one time event. If the trespassing is happening so frequently it must have been carefully planned. Something that is equally surprising is how such a repeated pattern was not identified by Park Rangers.
  
[[Image:anu_pic3.png|800px|100%]]
 
 
 
<div style="padding-left:15px; text-align:left">  
 
<div style="padding-left:15px; text-align:left">  
 
<font size = 3; color="#070002"><span style="font-family:Ariel;">''' Pattern 5'''</span></font>  
 
<font size = 3; color="#070002"><span style="font-family:Ariel;">''' Pattern 5'''</span></font>  
 
</div>
 
</div>
 +
2P Ranger vehicles count have almost doubled in May. Why is this happening in May, as per the previous pattern June through August are peak period of footfall at preserve. The count on Fridays is the highest reaching 800.
  
* This dashboard shows that 2P – Park Service Vehicles used by preserve rangers is not detected between 3-5 AM on all the days,2-5 AM on Thursdays, and 1-5 AM on Saturdays. These could be the Time off periods for all rangers. We notice a pattern here. This could mean that these timings are not patrolled.
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[[Image:2P_movement.png|800px|center|100%]]
* We can also see the path that was most frequent among 2P-Park service vehicles.
 
 
 
[[Image:anu_pic4.png|800px|100%]]
 
  
 
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</div>
  
* The following are the commonly used pathways:
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We noticed that some vehicles came to the park multiple times. Here we have the frequent flyers of the park.
 
 
- Ranger-stop 0 --> General gate 2[7490]
 
-      General gate 2 --> Ranger -stop 0 [7311]
 
 
 
- Ranger-stop 2 -->  General gate 1 [7427]
 
-      General gate 1 --> Ranger-stop 2 [7248]
 
 
 
- Ranger-stop 0 --> Ranger-stop 2 [7463]
 
-      Ranger-stop 2 --> Ranger-stop 0 [7284]
 
 
 
[[Image:anu_pic5.png|500px|center|100%]]
 
  
Quick look at where they are on the map. It is interesting to note that these 4 gates fall on the same road.
+
20154519024544-322 --- 16 Trips <br/>
 +
20154112014114-381 --- 7 Trips <br/>
 +
20162904122951-717 --- 6 Trips<br/>
 +
20153712013720-181 --- 4 Trips <br/>
 +
20162027042012-940 --- 3 Trips <br/>
 +
20150204100226-134 --- 2 Trips <br/>
 +
20150322080300-861 --- 2 Trips <br/>
 +
20153427103455-30  --- 2 Trips <br/>
 +
20154501084537-684 --- 2 Trips <br/>
 +
20160623090611-424 --- 2 Trips <br/>
 +
20161008061012-639 --- 2 Trips  <br/>
  
[[Image:anu_map.jpg|300px|center|100%]]
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[[Image:anu_pic10.png|800px|center|100%]]

Revision as of 23:28, 12 July 2017

Bluebird.gif The Missing Case of the Rose-Crested Blue Pipit

Background

Q1

Q2

Q3

Conclusion

 

Patterns of Life over Time


Upon understanding a few of the daily patterns it is not a good idea to look at the patterns over longer period. Lets begin by understanding the time spent at the different areas at the preserve.

Pattern 1

  • In general Camping sites are the places where people spent most of their time
  • Among camps – camping site 5 >4>8> are more popular. This is not a surprise, the surprising thing is that the time spent at camp 1 is drastically less in comparison to certain entrances and general gates [ like entrance 4 and general gate 7 and 2]
100%



We are curious to know if this pattern is observed across all months or seen only for certain months. Each point on the box plot refers to a month. The box plot on the left confirms that people spent the least amount of time at camp site 1 across all months in comparison to other camp sites. On the other hand we want to investigate if this is due to an overall decrease in cars at camp site 1. The box plot on the right shows that much fewer people chose to camp at camp site 1.

100%



Pattern 2

There is a steep decline in overall vehicle count from November onward through March. This period coincides with winter and it is possible that the park is not preferred during this period.

100%

Pattern 3

The ranger base was accessed by only 2P vehicles.Surprisingly, 2P vehicles have not crossed any entrance at all. [ This is strange, do they have another entry/exit ?] . How are they assigned thee car ids if they do not pass through the entrance ?

100%

Pattern 4

June, July and August is when the camps are popular, with 2 axle car spending the most time at camp sites followed by 2 axle truck The first arrow confirms the trespassing at Gates by type 4 vehicles which we noticed previously.This pattern in seen across all months except April. In Q1 we detected this trespassing at Gates and now we find more information about this trespassing. It does not look like a one time event. If the trespassing is happening so frequently it must have been carefully planned. Something that is equally surprising is how such a repeated pattern was not identified by Park Rangers.

Pattern 5

2P Ranger vehicles count have almost doubled in May. Why is this happening in May, as per the previous pattern June through August are peak period of footfall at preserve. The count on Fridays is the highest reaching 800.

100%

Pattern 6

We noticed that some vehicles came to the park multiple times. Here we have the frequent flyers of the park.

20154519024544-322 --- 16 Trips
20154112014114-381 --- 7 Trips
20162904122951-717 --- 6 Trips
20153712013720-181 --- 4 Trips
20162027042012-940 --- 3 Trips
20150204100226-134 --- 2 Trips
20150322080300-861 --- 2 Trips
20153427103455-30 --- 2 Trips
20154501084537-684 --- 2 Trips
20160623090611-424 --- 2 Trips
20161008061012-639 --- 2 Trips

100%