Difference between revisions of "EzModel"

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[[EzSell|<font color="#3c3c3c"><strong>HOME</strong></font>]]
 
  
 
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In recent decades, there has been a surging interest in modeling housing prices among economists, planners, and policymakers due to the significant role of properties in household wealth and national economy. In Singapore, public housing accommodates more than 80% of its citizen and citizens either choose to buy a new Housing Development Board (HDB) flat or purchase a HDB resale flat, second-hand flats with less than 99 years left on the lease.
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Our project will focus on modelling the HDB resale flat prices which are shaped by market forces.
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In many existing hedonic housing prices models, linear regression is used to identify the significance of different variables (number of rooms, number of years left on the lease and distance from the nearest amenities etc.) on the house prices. However, these models fail to take into account the spatial variation in the nearby surroundings of these different resale units such as the proximity to shopping malls, number of MRT stations and healthcare facilities in the vicinity.
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Geographically weighted regression (GWR) is a spatial analysis technique that overcomes this limitation by taking into account spatial autocorrelations among the observations in surrounding locations by allowing for spatial nonstationarity in the linear regression coefficients for each observation location. In this project, we will build a modeling tool that allows users to explore the impact of these spatial variations on HDB resale prices through a GWR model. To factor in the combination of both local and global variables, we also includes the option of using a mixed (semiparametric) GWR model.
  
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Housing prices in Singapore is often a hot topic for discussion. Being an island state with a limited land area, property prices in Singapore has always been on the general increase. Methods at which Singapore citizens buy a Housing Development Board (HDB) flat can be different, with some examples being Build-To-Order (BTO), Design, Build and Sell Scheme (DBSS) and purchasing a resale flat as some of the available options. Resale flats are like second-hand flats with less than 99 year left on the lease. Flats in this category are often in more matured areas with existing infrastructure and amenities, which means they are also rather popular with to-be buyers. In this project, the team aims to focus on the the prices of resales flats and how infrastructure nearby such as shopping malls, MRT stations and healthcare facilities impact the prices of such flats.
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Also, to provide greater flexibility for users to choose the certain desired spatial attributes that they would like to analyse, instead of fixing the datasets to be used for the model, we will allow users to upload datasets (i.e. school locations, hospital locations) and the tool will immediately compute new spatial variables to allow users to include in the model for analysis.This tool thus seeks to help users to accurately model the impact of spatial variables on the price of the HDB resale units.
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Latest revision as of 22:35, 25 February 2019


PROPOSAL

POSTER

APPLICATION

RESEARCH PAPER


EzSell Team


Project Motivation

In recent decades, there has been a surging interest in modeling housing prices among economists, planners, and policymakers due to the significant role of properties in household wealth and national economy. In Singapore, public housing accommodates more than 80% of its citizen and citizens either choose to buy a new Housing Development Board (HDB) flat or purchase a HDB resale flat, second-hand flats with less than 99 years left on the lease. Our project will focus on modelling the HDB resale flat prices which are shaped by market forces.

In many existing hedonic housing prices models, linear regression is used to identify the significance of different variables (number of rooms, number of years left on the lease and distance from the nearest amenities etc.) on the house prices. However, these models fail to take into account the spatial variation in the nearby surroundings of these different resale units such as the proximity to shopping malls, number of MRT stations and healthcare facilities in the vicinity.

Geographically weighted regression (GWR) is a spatial analysis technique that overcomes this limitation by taking into account spatial autocorrelations among the observations in surrounding locations by allowing for spatial nonstationarity in the linear regression coefficients for each observation location. In this project, we will build a modeling tool that allows users to explore the impact of these spatial variations on HDB resale prices through a GWR model. To factor in the combination of both local and global variables, we also includes the option of using a mixed (semiparametric) GWR model.

Also, to provide greater flexibility for users to choose the certain desired spatial attributes that they would like to analyse, instead of fixing the datasets to be used for the model, we will allow users to upload datasets (i.e. school locations, hospital locations) and the tool will immediately compute new spatial variables to allow users to include in the model for analysis.This tool thus seeks to help users to accurately model the impact of spatial variables on the price of the HDB resale units.


Data Sources



Literature Review



Approach



Project Timeline



Challenges


Tools & Technology


Future Extensions
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