Difference between revisions of "ISSS608 Group07 Proposal"

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Corn or Maize (as called in some countries) was first grown in ancient Central America. Corn has become a staple in many parts of the world, providing not only substances that we fill our belly with, but also act as the raw ingredient for corn ethanol, animal feed etc. The United States accounts for about 40% of production of corn in the world<sup>1</sup>, which makes it the largest corn producer. The major portion of production is found in the Midwestern states, such as Illinois, Iowa, Nebraska and Minnesota – these states were grouped and eventually became known as the ‘Corn Belt’. The Corn Belt has about 96,000,000 acres of land just for corn production. The states that make up the Corn Belt were selected due to leveled land, fertile and highly organic soils<sup>2</sup>. <br/><br/>
 
Corn or Maize (as called in some countries) was first grown in ancient Central America. Corn has become a staple in many parts of the world, providing not only substances that we fill our belly with, but also act as the raw ingredient for corn ethanol, animal feed etc. The United States accounts for about 40% of production of corn in the world<sup>1</sup>, which makes it the largest corn producer. The major portion of production is found in the Midwestern states, such as Illinois, Iowa, Nebraska and Minnesota – these states were grouped and eventually became known as the ‘Corn Belt’. The Corn Belt has about 96,000,000 acres of land just for corn production. The states that make up the Corn Belt were selected due to leveled land, fertile and highly organic soils<sup>2</sup>. <br/><br/>
  
Corn has been known to be able to grow in a wide range of climatic conditions, hence it would be a challenge to set precise conditions for corn production. However, there is still a limit of this wide window of conditions, such as corn is grown mostly in tropical latitudes, corn has a cold limit of 19°C, corn grows the best in warm temperatures between 21°C to 27°C and the growing season to grow hovers between 120 -180 days<sup>3</sup>.
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Corn has been known to be able to grow in a wide range of climatic conditions, hence it would be a challenge to set precise conditions for corn production. However, there is still a limit of this wide window of conditions, such as corn is grown mostly in tropical latitudes, corn has a cold limit of 19°C, corn grows the best in warm temperatures between 21°C to 27°C and the growing season to grow hovers between 120 -180 days<sup>3</sup>. This project aims to explore the factors that makes a corn, corn. <br>
 
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=Scope=
 
=Scope=
 
The scope of the project is limited to the corn produced in USA. We will use all the years provided in the dataset, but with a focus on only the months that fall within the growing season of that particular hybrid. We will also limit the environmental factors to be the following: <br>
 
The scope of the project is limited to the corn produced in USA. We will use all the years provided in the dataset, but with a focus on only the months that fall within the growing season of that particular hybrid. We will also limit the environmental factors to be the following: <br>

Revision as of 21:33, 21 November 2018

Group07 header2.jpg Corn: The A-maize-ing Crop.

Overview

Proposal

Poster

Application

Report



Overview
Corn or Maize (as called in some countries) was first grown in ancient Central America. Corn has become a staple in many parts of the world, providing not only substances that we fill our belly with, but also act as the raw ingredient for corn ethanol, animal feed etc. The United States accounts for about 40% of production of corn in the world1, which makes it the largest corn producer. The major portion of production is found in the Midwestern states, such as Illinois, Iowa, Nebraska and Minnesota – these states were grouped and eventually became known as the ‘Corn Belt’. The Corn Belt has about 96,000,000 acres of land just for corn production. The states that make up the Corn Belt were selected due to leveled land, fertile and highly organic soils2.

Corn has been known to be able to grow in a wide range of climatic conditions, hence it would be a challenge to set precise conditions for corn production. However, there is still a limit of this wide window of conditions, such as corn is grown mostly in tropical latitudes, corn has a cold limit of 19°C, corn grows the best in warm temperatures between 21°C to 27°C and the growing season to grow hovers between 120 -180 days3. This project aims to explore the factors that makes a corn, corn.

Scope

The scope of the project is limited to the corn produced in USA. We will use all the years provided in the dataset, but with a focus on only the months that fall within the growing season of that particular hybrid. We will also limit the environmental factors to be the following:

  1. Precipitation
  2. Exposure length to sun
  3. Average Temperature
  4. Location of where the hybrid is planted
  5. Which year the hybrid was planted

Objective

The first objective of this project is to visualise our dataset:

  1. Weather Data: Precipitation, Average Temperature,Length of (sun) Radiation over the years
  2. Performance Data: Average Yield by State, by Plantation and finally by Hybrid. However after skimming through our data, about 45% of our hybrids are only planted once. Hence we do not have enough data for us to do a time-series analysis. Instead, we will be doing cross-sectional analysis, where we will analyse and visualise our data year by year.

The second objective is to predict the yield of a particular drought-resistant corn hybrid, given the soil conditions and topography of the plantation. The model that we are going to implement is Geo-weighted Regression (GWR) Model. However to make this prediction, we first need to classify the hybrids to whether a particular corn hybrid is drought resistant or not. This is will be further elaborated on in the Methodology section.To determine whether a hybrid is drought resistant or not, we compare the individual average precipitation of each hybrid with the global average precipitation of all hybrids.

Data Source

This data from the 'Syngenta Crop Challenge 2019'.

Performance Data

Weather Data

Visualisations

Tools & Packages

Data Source

==

Reference

The image for the banner was taken from https://iegvu.agribusinessintelligence.informa.com/CO215920/South-Africa-corn-planting-plummets.

[1] Olson, R. A., & Sander, D. H. (1988). Corn production. Corn and corn improvement, (cornandcornimpr), 639-686.
[2] Smith, C. W. (2004). Corn: origin, history, technology, and production (Vol. 4). John Wiley & Sons.
[3] Shaw, R. H. (1988). Climate requirement. Corn and corn improvement, (cornandcornimpr), 609-638.