ISSS608 2017-18 T3 Assign MA XIAOLIU Conclusion

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Timg.jpg Research of Epidemic Spread in Smartpolis

Overview

Data Preparation

Epidemic exploration

Transmission and Tendency

Conclusion


Conclusion

The fire near the capital building cause theThe widely epidemic in Smartpoils which outbreak on May 18 is approved that be related to the issues which happened several days ago. Besides, this epidemic is mixed with 2 different illness, that’s the reason that in different palaces, the symptoms are different. The specific information of this epidemic is show as the table below:

Illness Symptom Outbreak time Speculated Cause Related Issue Issue happens time Location
Flulike illness which is related to Respiratory Ache, Sweat, Fever, breath, Flu, Chill, Pain, Fatigue, Cough 5/18/2011 The fire near the capital building, and exploration in smogtown generate smoke and Poisonous gases. There is a fire near the capital building 5/14/2011 Near the capital building in downtown
There is an explosion in Smogtown 5/17/2011 Smogtown
Intestines and stomach disease Vomit, Nausea, Diarrhea, Pain 5/19/2011 The car accident on the 610 highway. The truck will poll the poisonous in river. The river is the water supplement for citizens, There is a car accident at 12pm and on 610 road 5/17/2011 On the 610 highway, near the river.

In the forecast analysis, the intestines and stomach disease tendency in the next 2 days, might will influence more people.This illness might be contained in the few next days and will keep increase to a large extent.

The Flulike illness which is related to Respiratory. In the next 2 days, will keep stable and there might be a small range of ups and downs fluctuation. This illness might contained for a while but it is declined.

Suggestion

  1. the city officials should pay more attention on the illness and Is it necessary for emergency management personnel to deploy treatment resources near the river and the further places.
  2. the officials should clean up toxic substances in the water as quickly as possible, to prevent more and more people drink the water in this river.
  3. In the city center which have a high population traffic, it should have an Effective preventive measures, for example, to encourage company to give a 1 or 2 days break or try to clean the air. In the west side, it should be more attention. Because of the wind direction, the people who get respiratory illness might be increase.