ISSS608 2017-18 T1 Assign MA XIAOLIU The cause of this epidemic
Epidemic Spread in Smartpoils
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Extra information exploration
Check the text keywords by day in JMP. There are some interesting findings. On May 14, 16 and 17, there are some words have high frequency only in these days which has been showed in the table. These words which have high frequency point out that there must be something happened in this city.
| Date | Keywords |
|---|---|
| 5/14/2011 | 'capital building','fire alarm' |
| 5/16/2011 | 'comic convention','bomb threat','bomb' |
| 5/17/2011 | 'car accident','smog town','shook in smogtown' |
In order to know what exactly happened in this town, I pick out the keywords and use python, to find the text which include these keywords. Track the location of people who publish these text, and check the content of text.
From this dashboard we can find the location where the people send texts. This can help to know the scope of the issue happens.
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This table shows the part of the texts, what the issue was and the location it happens.
| Date | Text | Issue | Location |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5/14/2011 |  |
There is a fire near the capital building | Capital building,downtown |
| 5/16/2011 |  |
There is a bomb treat in this city. | None |
| 5/17/2011 |  |
There is a car accident at 12pm and on 610 road, which impacted the traffic on raod 270 near the river. | On the road 610 and road 270, which near the river |
| 5/17/2011 |  |
There is a explosion in smogtown | Smogtown |
Causes
Combining the exploration of the epidemic and the addition information, the cause of the epidemic has been revealed. This two illness are all related to the recent issues which happens in the city.
| Illness | Speculated cause | Location | Issue happens time | Outbreak time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flulike illness which is related to Respiratory | The fire near the capital building, and exploration in smogtown generate smoke and Poisonous gases. This might cause disease in people's respiratory. | Fire:Near the capital building in downtown | 5/14/2011 | 5/18/2011 |
| Exploration:smogtown | 5/17/2011 | |||
| Intestines and stomach disease | The car accident on the 610 highway. The truck will poll the poisonous in river. The river is the water supplement for citizens, so it might cause the disease in people’s intestines and stomach. | On the 610 highway, near the river. | 5/17/2011 | 5/19/2011 |
