ISSS608 2017-18 T1 Assign RYAN CHIA
Overview
Smartpolis is a major metropolitan area with a population of approximately two million residents. During the last few days, health professionals at local hospitals have noticed a dramatic increase in reported illnesses. Observed symptoms are largely flulike and include fever, chills,sweats, aches and pains, fatigue, coughing, breathing difficulty, nausea and vomiting, diarrhea, and enlarged lymph nodes. More recently, there have been several deaths believed to be associated with the current outbreak. City officials fear a possible epidemic and are mobilizing emergency management resources to mitigate the impact. You have been charged with providing an assessment of the situation.
Hypothesis
Cases of reported illness is due to an Industrial Property Explosion that occurred on the 17 May 2011 in the region of Smogtown. The residue from the particles released into the air by the explosion, is believed to be blown from the west to the Downtown and Uptown districts, and beyond, during the night, causing many to wake up the following day with an illness. The illness is believed to not be transmittable between humans and there is insufficient data to observe the time a patient will carry the symptoms. No containment is required, however, since no spike of cases was observed the following day.
Illness Discovery & Detection
The above image depicts the spike of number of detected illnesses through communication channels between 17 May and 18 May. While we cannot be sure who the ill party in the confirmation is, the assumption in place is that wherever either party may be, they are in relatively close proximity by nature of their friendship. From the image, we may observe a pattern in the data identified to be with illness. The image below highlights these pattern more clearly.
