Summary
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Contents
The Next Steps
Is the disease contained? We are going to approach the question from 2 angles.
- How fast the disease spread?
- How many areas has the disease spread to?
Finally with a recommendation at the end
How fast the disease spread
Back to our timeline Viz. We already know Downtown and Uptown are ground zero area. The change in the number of messages spike up overnight for these two areas. Setting the filter to only Downtown and Uptown, we can see a very steep slope that began on the 18th May, which clearly indicates the speed at which the disease spread is fast. Refer to Image 1.
Image 1 – DownTown and Uptown
Moving on to other areas, we also see a similar trend. The difference between the area lies in how much is the increased from the Area’s average. Refer to Image 2. This difference can be explained by lesser people movement in and out from the area. Bringing back the chart which we have seen in earlier discussion - Image 3. In this image, the lower the number of people movement, the lesser the spread, which can be seen on the lower left of the chart.
Image 2 – All other areas
Image 3 – Population movement
How many areas has shown signs of infection?
Bringing back your attention to Image 2 above. Most areas show a similar rhythm and happening on the same day, 18th. It is highly possible sign that these areas share the same type of disease as ground zero. A further test to this idea is observing the AreaHeatMap, excluding Downtown and Uptown. Image 4 below. We can see that there are only a few grids with lighter color. One such area is on the lower right. That area is Lakeside and it has a 3 lakes in that area, thus, we are not expecting people to message from these areas. Thus, we can conclude that most area in Smartpolis has already been infected.
Recommendation
From the above, the disease is fast. And due to people movement, the disease can spread fast and wide. Most areas have already been infected. Given that the disease is spread through human to human interaction, it is highly recommended that health officials take the necessary steps and continue to monitor the situation. Some of the recommended steps are:
- Encourage to work from home
- Avoid crowded areas
- Events and outdoor activities to be avoided until further notice.