ISSS608 2017-18 T1 Assign FOO CELONG RAYMOND/IdentifyGroundZero

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RaymHeader.png



Tracking the Outbreak

From my preliminary analysis, I noticed two sets of symptoms which were manifested by population at different time. Without any evidence of the symptoms being the cause of a single outbreak, my analysis of the ground zero will begin by assuming they are two different outbreak until I can prove otherwise during the course of the analysis.

18 May Outbreak Ground Zero

I know that the first 7 symptoms that were first observed on 18-May are:-

  •  Aches
  •  Breathing problem
  •  Chills
  •  Cough
  •  Fatigue
  •  Fever
  •  Sweat

Raym18MayByZone.jpg

Downtown is the ground zero of the outbreak because it has the highest number of post across all 7 symptoms. It is also observed that the top 5 city zones are in the same order across all symptoms. Downtown have the highest number of posts followed by uptown, eastside, lakeside and finally suburbia.

RaymGroundZero1.jpg

The most affected areas seem to form a cone shape which started from downtown and spreads out towards the east and becomes more diffused as it spreads out.

19 May Outbreak Ground Zero

Symptoms that were first observed on 19-May are:-

  •  Diarrhea
  •  Flu
  •  Nausea
  •  Pain
  •  Vomit

Raym19MayByZone.jpg

Downtown is the ground zero of the outbreak because it has the highest number of post across all 7 symptoms. It is also observed that the top 5 city zones are in the same order across all symptoms. Downtown have the highest number of posts followed by uptown, eastside, lakeside and finally suburbia.

RaymGroundZero1.jpg

The most affected areas seem to form a cone shape which started from downtown and spreads out towards the east and becomes more diffused as it spreads out.


I know that the first 7 symptoms that were first observed on 18-May are:-

Aches
Breathing problem
Chills
Cough
Fatigue
Fever
Sweat