ISSS608 2017-18 T1 Assign MA XIAOLIU

Epidemic Spread in Smartpolis

Overview

Data Preparation

Epidemic exploration

Transmission and Tendency

Conclusion

Overview

A major metropolitan area, Smartpolis is currently being invaded by an illness and is turning into an epidemic disease. City officials fear a possible epidemic and are mobilizing emergency management resources to mitigate the impact.

There are three available data been given, the first one contains microblog messages collected from various devices with GPS capabilities. The second one contains map information for the entire metropolitan area. The map dataset contains a satellite image with labeled highways, hospitals, important landmarks, and water bodies. The last one information about population statistics and observed weather data. Use these data to help city officials to know about the illness and control it.

Task

Origin and Epidemic Spread

1. Identify approximately where the outbreak started on the map (ground zero location).
2. Outline the affected area.
3. Explain how you arrived at your conclusion.

Epidemic Spread

1. Present a hypothesis on how the infection is being transmitted. Identify the trends that support your hypothesis.
2. Is the outbreak contained? Is it necessary for emergency management personnel to deploy treatment resources outside the affected area?

Analysis Process

1. Make the data preparation, clean data and explore it, besides, use python filter out the useful microblogs.
2. Explore the epidemic disease. To find out the distribution and cause of this disease.
3. Find out how it transmitted and to forecast if it will be contained.
4. Make a simple conclusion for this epidemic and give some suggestions to officials for the following days.

Additional Information

1. Economy – The economy of Vastopolis is based on commerce, entertainment, finance, trucking services, shipping services, health care, and industry.
2. Water Supply - Residents and businesses get their drinking water by pumping water from nearby reservoirs or rivers. These distributed water systems are both public and privately owned.
3. Entertainment – Vastopolis has two stadiums (Vastopolis Dome and Westside Stadium) for sports, concerts, and other events. The various lakes and the Vast River, which flows south at a steady rate of three miles per hour, is used for water-based sports and recreation.
4. City Administration – Vastopolis has several locations of significance including a state courthouse, a capitol building, convention center, and a large airport.