Difference between revisions of "Summary"
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| − | + | =The Next Steps= | |
Is the disease contained? We are going to approach this question from 2 angles. | Is the disease contained? We are going to approach this question from 2 angles. | ||
* How fast the disease spread? | * How fast the disease spread? | ||
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* Finally with a recommendation and reason for the conclusion at the end | * Finally with a recommendation and reason for the conclusion at the end | ||
| − | + | ==How fast the disease spread== | |
Back to our timeline Viz. We already know Downtown and Uptown are ground zero area. The change in the number of messages spike up overnight for these two areas. Setting the filter to only Downtown and Uptown, we can see a very steep slope that began on the 18th May, which clearly indicates the speed at which the disease spread is fast. | Back to our timeline Viz. We already know Downtown and Uptown are ground zero area. The change in the number of messages spike up overnight for these two areas. Setting the filter to only Downtown and Uptown, we can see a very steep slope that began on the 18th May, which clearly indicates the speed at which the disease spread is fast. | ||
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Refer to '''Image 1'''. | Refer to '''Image 1'''. | ||
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| − | + | ==How many areas has shown signs of infection?== | |
Bringing back your attention to Image 2 above. Most areas show a similar rhythm and happening on the same day, 18th. It is highly possible sign that these areas share the same type of disease as ground zero. | Bringing back your attention to Image 2 above. Most areas show a similar rhythm and happening on the same day, 18th. It is highly possible sign that these areas share the same type of disease as ground zero. | ||
A further test to this idea is through the AreaHeatMap, excluding Downtown and Uptown. In '''Image 4 below''', we can see that there are only a few grids with lighter color. One such area is on the lower right. That area is Lakeside and it has a 3 lakes in that area, thus, we are not expecting people to message from these areas. We can conclude with confidence that most area in Smartpolis has already been infected. | A further test to this idea is through the AreaHeatMap, excluding Downtown and Uptown. In '''Image 4 below''', we can see that there are only a few grids with lighter color. One such area is on the lower right. That area is Lakeside and it has a 3 lakes in that area, thus, we are not expecting people to message from these areas. We can conclude with confidence that most area in Smartpolis has already been infected. | ||
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| − | + | ==Recommendation and Conclusion== | |
From the above, the disease is fast. And with people movement, the disease can spread fast and wide. Also, most areas Smartpolis have already been infected. | From the above, the disease is fast. And with people movement, the disease can spread fast and wide. Also, most areas Smartpolis have already been infected. | ||
Revision as of 10:43, 15 October 2017
ISS608_2017-18_T1_Assign_Yau Hon Tak
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Contents
The Next Steps
Is the disease contained? We are going to approach this question from 2 angles.
- How fast the disease spread?
- How many areas has the disease spread to?
- Finally with a recommendation and reason for the conclusion at the end
How fast the disease spread
Back to our timeline Viz. We already know Downtown and Uptown are ground zero area. The change in the number of messages spike up overnight for these two areas. Setting the filter to only Downtown and Uptown, we can see a very steep slope that began on the 18th May, which clearly indicates the speed at which the disease spread is fast.
Refer to Image 1.
Image 1 – DownTown and Uptown
Moving on to other areas, we also see a similar trend. The difference between the area lies in the magnitude of increase from the Area’s average. Refer to Image 2. This difference can be explained by Daytime population vs Population Density. Bringing back the chart which we have seen in earlier discussion - Image 3. In this image, the lower the number of people movement, the lesser the spread, which can be seen on the lower left of the chart. The 2 areas selected in Image 3 were Smogtown and Cornertown
Image 2 – All other areas
Image 3 – Population movement
How many areas has shown signs of infection?
Bringing back your attention to Image 2 above. Most areas show a similar rhythm and happening on the same day, 18th. It is highly possible sign that these areas share the same type of disease as ground zero. A further test to this idea is through the AreaHeatMap, excluding Downtown and Uptown. In Image 4 below, we can see that there are only a few grids with lighter color. One such area is on the lower right. That area is Lakeside and it has a 3 lakes in that area, thus, we are not expecting people to message from these areas. We can conclude with confidence that most area in Smartpolis has already been infected.
Image 4 – AreaHeatMap
Recommendation and Conclusion
From the above, the disease is fast. And with people movement, the disease can spread fast and wide. Also, most areas Smartpolis have already been infected.
This disease is currently NOT contained, given what we have discussed above. Plus, there are highways in/out of Smartpolis and an airport which can bring the disease to greater distance. The fortunate thing is, the disease doesn't get carried by wind. Thus, with actions taken, we should be able to prevent the disease from spreading
Given that the disease is spread through human to human interaction, it is highly recommended that health officials take the necessary steps and continue to monitor the situation. Some of the recommended steps are:
- Encourage to work from home
- Avoid crowded areas
- Events and outdoor activities to be avoided until further notice.
