Difference between revisions of "ISSS608 2016-17 T1 Assign3 Frandy Eddy"
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[[File:Fd To 839736 Sunday.png]] | [[File:Fd To 839736 Sunday.png]] | ||
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− | There are two spikes in the volume of communication to ID 839736 happening on Sunday. The first spike is a very high volume of communication at around 12:00 - 12:30 PM, reaching up to more than 1500 incoming messages in a minute. The second one is at around 2:40 PM - 2: | + | There are two spikes in the volume of communication to ID 839736 happening on Sunday. The first spike is a very high volume of communication at around 12:00 PM - 12:30 PM, reaching up to more than 1500 incoming messages in a minute. The second one is at around 2:40 PM - 2:56 PM with up to 400 incoming messages in a minute. |
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'''3. Location where the spike in the volume of communication comes from''' | '''3. Location where the spike in the volume of communication comes from''' | ||
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+ | [[File:Fd First spike location.png|300px]] | ||
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− | From the communication patterns, the vandalism was probably discovered at around 11:45AM – 12:00 PM | + | For the first spike which happened at 12:00 PM - 12:30 PM, 21,877 of 22,205 messages (98.52%) to the information center comes from Wet Land. |
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+ | [[File:Fd Second spike location.png|300px]] | ||
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+ | For the second spike which happened at 2:40 PM - 2:56 PM, 3,113 of 3,836 messages (81.15%) to the information center comes from Coaster Alley. | ||
+ | <br /><br /> | ||
+ | From the communication patterns, the vandalism was probably discovered on Sunday at around 11:45AM – 12:00 PM. | ||
Revision as of 02:48, 28 October 2016
Abstract
DinoFun
Overview
DinoFun World is a typical modest-sized amusement park, sitting on about 215 hectares and hosting thousands of visitors each day. It has a small town feel, but it is well known for its exciting rides and events.
One event last year was a weekend tribute to Scott Jones, internationally renowned football (“soccer,” in US terminology) star. Scott Jones is from a town nearby DinoFun World. He was a classic hometown hero, with thousands of fans who cheered his success as if he were a beloved family member. To celebrate his years of stardom in international play, DinoFun World declared “Scott Jones Weekend”, where Scott was scheduled to appear in two stage shows each on Friday, Saturday, and Sunday to talk about his life and career. In addition, a show of memorabilia related to his illustrious career would be displayed in the park’s Pavilion. However, the event did not go as planned. Scott’s weekend was marred by crime and mayhem perpetrated by a poor, misguided and disgruntled figure from Scott’s past.
While the crimes were rapidly solved, park officials and law enforcement figures are interested in understanding just what happened during that weekend to better prepare themselves for future events. They are interested in understanding how people move and communicate in the park, as well as how patterns changes and evolve over time, and what can be understood about motivations for changing patterns.
The Task
To be a visual detective
- Identify those IDs that stand out for their large volumes of communication. For each of these IDs
- Characterize the communication patterns you see.
- Based on these patterns, what do you hypothesize about these IDs?
- Describe up to 10 communications patterns in the data. Characterize who is communicating, with whom, when and where. If you have more than 10 patterns to report, please prioritize those patterns that are most likely to relate to the crime.
- From this data, can you hypothesize when the vandalism was discovered? Describe your rationale.
Data Preparation
Before we start to do the analysis, we need to prepare the data so that it can be used for analysis.
Results & Findings
There are some IDs with much larger volume of communication than others. The IDs are 1278894, 839736, and external.
1. ID 1278894
- Patterns:
- This ID has the highest volume of communication on all 3 days.
- The volume of communication from and to this ID is almost the same, with more communication coming from this ID than communication going to this ID. (~0.30% difference)
- It is found that the location of this ID is always on Entry Corridor.
- Communications from this ID only happen at certain times. It is sending out broadcast messages at 12:00 PM - 12:55 PM, 2:00 PM - 2:55 PM, 4:00 PM - 4:55 PM, 6:00 PM - 6:55 PM, and 8:00 PM - 8:55 PM with an interval of 5 minutes between each broadcast message.
- This ID never communicates with ID 839736 and external which has the second and third highest volume of communication on the 3 days.
- Based on these patterns, it can be hypothesized that this ID is the Cindysaurus Trivia Game, which is available from the DinoFun World app.
2. ID 839736
- Patterns:
- This ID always responds within 5 minutes after it receives a message.
- The volume of communication from and to this ID is almost exactly the same. (~0.01% difference)
- It is found that the location of this ID is always on Entry Corridor.
- Communications involving this ID happen at all times throughout the day.
- This ID never communicates with ID 1278894 and external which has the highest and third highest volume of communication on the 3 days.
- Based on these patterns, it can be hypothesized that this ID is the visitor information center.
3. External
- Patterns:
- This ID only receives messages and does not send any messages.
- Communications involving this ID happen at all times throughout the day.
- This ID never communicates with ID 1278894 and 839736 which are the two IDs with the highest volume of communication on the 3 days.
- Based on these patterns, it can be hypothesized that this ID is external party.
As the data is very big, we will only analyze the communication patterns on subset of the data which we find interesting. There are some communication patterns found in the data.
1. Communication patterns of ID with high volume of communication
- Communications to ID 839736
A
2. Period when there is a spike in the volume of communication
There are two spikes in the volume of communication to ID 839736 happening on Sunday. The first spike is a very high volume of communication at around 12:00 PM - 12:30 PM, reaching up to more than 1500 incoming messages in a minute. The second one is at around 2:40 PM - 2:56 PM with up to 400 incoming messages in a minute.
3. Location where the spike in the volume of communication comes from
For the first spike which happened at 12:00 PM - 12:30 PM, 21,877 of 22,205 messages (98.52%) to the information center comes from Wet Land.
For the second spike which happened at 2:40 PM - 2:56 PM, 3,113 of 3,836 messages (81.15%) to the information center comes from Coaster Alley.
From the communication patterns, the vandalism was probably discovered on Sunday at around 11:45AM – 12:00 PM.
Software Used
- Tableau 10.0 - Used for data visualization
- JMP Pro - Used for data preparation and analysis
- Gephi - Used for visualization of communication pattern